Mark Mendel

Australian housing price outlook in AFR today

The AFR have put together an overview for each of the capital cities in each state of Australia. Below is a quick summary of each:

Sydney (-7.31% last 12 months)

  • - Top end market is suffering
  • - First Home owners Boosted grants + Low interest rates are creating a floor in the housing market at the lower end
  • - Homes under $500,000 are the strongest sales seen in many years
  • - Cheaper to buy than rent in some areas
  • -Expected flat 2009 with growth returning in 2010
  • - Rising unemployment will apply pressure on Sydney house prices

Perth (-10.1% last 12 months)

  • - Perth house prices likely to remian depressed for the next 12 months
  • - Pace of the drop in property prices is set to slow down
  • - Some perth suburbs are still growing
  • - RP Data using different methodology calculates Perth’s property decline at only 6%
  • - Market likley to go sideways due to rising unemployment
  • - First home buyer still strong

Darwin (+10.8% last 12 months)

  • - Continue to power ahead
  • - Properties are selling very quickly – usually within 2 weeks if priced between $300,000 and $750,000
  • - Population forecast to grow by 70% to more than 200,000 people by 2030
  • - Driving growth is defence and international resource investment for gas and oil
  • - Vacancy rates are negligable and average yields are 6.3% on units and 5.3% on houses
  • - Darwin is Australias most expensive city at the moment to live in according to HTW’s monthly review

Adelaide (-1.9% latest 12 months)

  • - First home buyer market is still very hot
  • - Defence Housing Australia looking to purchase a number of sites for their recruits
  • - Upper market, above $600,000, is a little slower

Brisbane (-6.3% latest 12 months)

  • - Market has slowed as property prics ahve caught up with both Melbourne and Sydney
  • - RP Datat only shows a fall of 3.42%
  • - House prices under $500,000 have increased by as much as 10% according to Michael Matusik
  • - Sales volumns are down 40% in some locations of Brisbane
  • - Top end market still suffering as more properties come on tot he market than are sold

Melbourne (-6.7% latest 12 months)

  • - Static prices predicted for the next 6 months and then moderate growth
  • - Stability and price growth based on conitnued population growth, continued Goverment grants and a reaosnablely health economy
  • - Of the top 20 growth suburbs in Melbourne, 15 had a median price of under $500,000
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